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DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/01 10:53
Corn Futures Flat-Lower at Midday Monday; Soybeans Lower; Wheat Mixed
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Monday; soybean futures are
4 to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are narrowly mixed.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Monday; soybean futures are
4 to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are narrowly mixed. The U.S. stock market is
weaker at midday with the S&P 20 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 20
points lower. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is firmer
with crude .70 higher and natural gas is unchanged. Livestock trade has cattle
weaker, and hogs mixed. Precious metals are firmer with gold up 11.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are flat to a penny lower to start the week with trade holding
above nearby support with little fresh news. Ethanol margins should remain
stable in the near term with unleaded finding some support at the lower end of
the range. The daily export wire was quiet. Weekly export inspections were
solid at 1.421 million metric tons (mmt), with year-to-date pace at 171%. Basis
should continue to stabilize and firm in most areas with the well-above-normal
fall shipment and usage pace. On the March chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $4.44, which we closed just above, with the Upper Bollinger Band at
$4.54 as the next round up.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 4 to 6 cents lower at midday with light selling and
product weakness with little other fresh news to start the week. Meal is 3.00
to 4.00 lower and oil is 20 to 30 points higher. South American weather
continues to keep overall concerns limited as we get deeper in the growing
season but some near-term dryness has persisted. Basis gains will likely slow
further as crush gains fade and export shipments need to catch up further. The
daily export wire was quiet Monday. Weekly export inspections were still soft
at 920,194 metric tons (mt) with year-to-date pace at 54%. On the January
chart, resistance is the $11.69 1/2 area, where we find the recent high, with
the 20-day moving average at $11.30 as support and we are back above at midday.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are narrowly mixed with early gains fading with little fresh
news; but the weaker dollar is keeping support in place despite broadly
negative outside markets. Weather turning colder for the Plains should push
things toward dormancy across the area with crop condition reporting likely
wrapped up for the year. MATIF wheat is lightly firmer Monday morning. Weekly
export inspections were OK at 384,851 mt with year-to-date pace at 120%. On the
KC March chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $5.36, with support
at the lower Bollinger Band at $5.17, which we bounced from last week.
**
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Cyclical challenges in the grain market and shifting power dynamics in the
cattle complex highlight the necessity of preparedness, not only to mitigate
risk, but also to maximize opportunities.
In our capstone DTN Ag Summit event, we'll hear directly from young farmers
and ranchers about the approaches they're taking to set their businesses up for
success and from DTN experts with critical outlooks to help you craft your game
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Featured DTN speakers include Lead Analyst Rhett Montgomery, Ag
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outlooks on the grain market, weather and cattle. Senior Editor Dan Miller
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discuss new avenues of business and pivots each have made to welcome more
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**
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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